Bitcoin’s price has faced significant pressure since reaching its peak of $108,353 on Dec. 17, with its recent dip below $92,000 raising concerns among analysts. This move has brought the potential formation of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern into sharper focus.
If Bitcoin fails to hold above the neckline at $92,000, further downside could be on the horizon, with a potential drop to $79,500 based on the pattern’s projection. Chartered market technician Aksel Kibar has also identified $80,000 as a likely target if this bearish scenario plays out.
Breakout from the broadening chart pattern that completed on $BTCUSD… the pullback can take place with a possible short-term H&S top. (IF) the right shoulder becomes better defined…
— Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) December 26, 2024
Keep this possibility on your watchlist. pic.twitter.com/iuQie1zNA9
On shorter time frames, Bitcoin’s price movements suggest strong buyer interest during dips—like the recent decline to $91,500—but these recoveries are repeatedly met with selling pressure near intraday highs.
Prominent crypto trader Skew highlighted the current market dynamics, noting:
“Short positions dominate the market right now, and aggressive shorting indicates expectations of a breakdown from Bitcoin’s current range.”
$BTC
— Skew Δ (@52kskew) December 29, 2024
Perp flow is basically
– longs puking
– shorts opening
hedge flow overall dominants here till there's taker bid
passive bids are so far just providing liquidity https://t.co/X9OIWi3m3q pic.twitter.com/FA5pZZ47UI
Skew emphasized the critical nature of the $94,000 level, explaining:
“Failure to reclaim $94K while the market remains supply-heavy could lead to a significant sell-off.”
Maintaining four-hour closes above $94,000 is seen as crucial for Bitcoin to stay within its current range. Over the past week, selling pressure has largely come from the spot market, while perpetual futures markets have leaned toward margin shorts. Holding $94,000 as a support level could be the first step in invalidating the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart.
As Bitcoin navigates these turbulent conditions, traders will be closely monitoring the $94,000 to $99,000 range to assess whether the bulls can regain control or if the bearish pattern will continue to dictate the market’s direction.
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