David Bailey — entrepreneur, Bitcoin Magazine founder, and adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump — believes Bitcoin won’t see another bear market “for years,” pointing to accelerating institutional adoption.
Bailey argued on X that this is the first true wave of institutional involvement in crypto, noting that sovereign funds, insurers, banks, pensions, and corporations are beginning to buy Bitcoin. “We haven’t even scratched 0.01% of the total market,” he said, calling for investors to “dream big.”
Institutional exposure has already crossed $100 billion, mostly through ETFs and company treasuries. Still, some analysts say risks remain.
CK Zheng of ZX Squared Capital warned that Bitcoin is still tied to the stock market: “If equities fall into a bear market, crypto will follow.” He added that rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could delay that scenario, but not rule it out.
Other experts echoed similar caution. Pav Hundal of Swyftx said the “path of least resistance is higher” for Bitcoin, yet macro shocks or interest rate hikes could spark a correction.
Looking ahead, Ryan McMillin of Merkle Tree Capital suggested markets may top out around mid-2026, with a potential mild bear market to follow. However, he also raised the possibility that Bitcoin could mirror gold after the early 2000s — moving into a long period of growth without a traditional bear market.
For now, momentum remains strong, but the debate continues: is this the start of a new era where Bitcoin avoids classic four-year cycles, or just another stage before the next downturn?
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