The inclusion of cryptocurrency in US 401(k) retirement plans could unlock billions in new capital and accelerate Bitcoin’s rise, potentially sending the price above $200,000 by the end of 2025, according to Bitwise’s head of European research, André Dragosch.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Aug. 7 allowing Americans to access digital assets through retirement plans, a move Dragosch believes could have an even greater impact than the approval of US spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year. Even a modest 1% allocation in the $12.2 trillion retirement market could add over $120 billion in inflows.
Financial advisers surveyed by Bitwise expect allocations closer to 2.5–3%, suggesting the upside may be larger. The first retirement plan inflows could begin this fall, aligning with an anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut that may further fuel Bitcoin’s rally.
Major retirement providers like BlackRock and Fidelity have strong incentives to integrate Bitcoin ETFs into their offerings, with BlackRock already managing the largest product at $84 billion.
Dragosch remains firm on his forecast: Bitcoin at $200,000 by the end of 2025, driven by the dual force of Fed policy shifts and retirement plan adoption.
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