There’s a 40% probability that the United States could face a recession in 2025, driven by prolonged trade tensions and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, according to Nic Puckrin, market analyst and founder of Coin Bureau.
In a recent interview, Puckrin noted that while a recession isn’t guaranteed, the current economic climate poses risks for speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. He stated:
“Trump and his advisors haven’t completely ruled out a recession. While I wouldn’t call it a certainty, the chances have definitely increased.”
Puckrin emphasized that while President Donald Trump isn’t deliberately pushing for a recession, certain policies—such as federal job cuts and reduced government spending to balance the budget—could have recessionary effects.
The macroeconomic instability has also weighed on the US Dollar Index (DXY), as investors seek alternative opportunities in European markets, Puckrin added.
Bitcoin Drops Amid Trade War Concerns
President Trump’s tariffs on key trading partners sent shockwaves through crypto markets, triggering a significant decline in altcoins and a 24% drop in Bitcoin’s price from its January 20 peak of over $109,000.
These tariffs have fueled widespread fear in the market, a stark contrast to the optimism seen after Trump’s re-election in November 2025 and his January 20 inauguration.
Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard predicts that crypto markets will remain under pressure from trade-related fears until at least April 2025. However, if negotiations ease tensions or the Trump administration takes a softer stance, markets could recover.
Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, recently suggested that Bitcoin may have hit its bottom in March 2025, as President Trump signaled a potential shift in trade policy—hinting at a possible price rebound.
For more news, find me on Twitter Giannis Andreou and subscribe to My channels Youtube and Rumble
What is your opinion on this particular topic? Leave us your comment below! We are always interested in your opinion!
