The momentum shift from Bitcoin to altcoins is accelerating, with the total crypto market cap excluding BTC — known as TOTAL2 — reaching $1.5 trillion on Friday. This level marks a key resistance area that hasn’t been revisited since January 2025.
Although some consolidation might occur around this range, the broader trend still favors a breakout toward the previous high near $1.72 trillion. A monthly close above $1.51 trillion would set a new record for the altcoin market, highlighting growing strength across the sector.
Stablecoin Inflows Accelerate Altcoin Expansion
Stablecoin reserves are pouring into exchanges at a rapid pace. Binance’s combined balances of USDT and USDC soared to $31 billion in June 2025, signaling a large pool of sidelined capital. This liquidity has begun flowing back into the market, with Binance and HTX receiving $895 million and $819 million in stablecoin inflows this week alone.
Over $2 billion worth of stablecoins — mostly USDT — were transferred into derivatives platforms on Wednesday, a strong indicator of increased appetite for leverage and speculative positions. New Tether issuances suggest institutional participants are gearing up for risk-on plays.
While Binance continues to dominate global spot volume with over $8 billion in daily trades, BTC whale deposits have declined by $2.25 billion, implying reduced selling pressure and freeing capital for altcoin rotation.
Bitcoin remains the cornerstone of market liquidity, but data increasingly points to institutional and high-volume traders shifting focus toward altcoins in anticipation of the next major leg up.
TOTAL3 Signals Early Altseason Phase With $5T Potential
The TOTAL3 index — which strips out both BTC and ETH — is still in its early altseason stages, currently sitting near $1 trillion. One analyst projected this figure could swell to $5 trillion before the cycle peaks, representing a 400% surge from current levels.
Crypto analyst “Mags” outlined the typical altseason pattern: a slow breakout from consolidation, followed by steady growth, and culminating in a parabolic rise that often plays out over just a few monthly candles — historically delivering outsized gains in a short window.
Reinforcing the early-stage outlook, the Altseason Index recently saw its 30-day metric cross above 75, a sign of early altcoin strength. However, the 60-day measure remains muted, suggesting the broader rotation is still in progress.
As enthusiasm builds and capital continues to flow into the sector, analysts advise strategic positioning and caution — noting that while the upside is vast, execution will be critical to capitalizing on the move.
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